000 02784cam a2200493Ma 4500
001 ocn865012953
003 OCoLC
005 20171105082158.0
006 m o d
007 cr cnu---unuuu
008 090713s2013 nju o 000 u eng d
020 _a9781118650233
_q(electronic bk.)
020 _a1118650239
_q(electronic bk.)
020 _a9781118650158
_q(electronic bk.)
020 _a1118650158
_q(electronic bk.)
020 _a1306208378
_q(ebk)
020 _a9781306208376
_q(ebk)
028 0 1 _aEB00067065
_bRecorded Books
029 1 _aCHBIS
_b010259545
029 1 _aCHVBK
_b325943796
029 1 _aDEBBG
_bBV043396398
035 _a(OCoLC)865012953
_z(OCoLC)865654825
037 _a552088
_bMIL
040 _aRECBK
_beng
_epn
_cRECBK
_dOCLCO
_dOCLCQ
_dOCLCO
_dDG1
_dOCLCQ
_dIDEBK
_dOHI
_dOCLCF
_dOCLCQ
_dDEBBG
_dOCLCQ
049 _aMAIN
050 4 _aQA273
082 0 4 _a519.2
_222
100 1 _aLindley, D. V.
_q(Dennis Victor),
_d1923-2013.
245 1 0 _aUnderstanding uncertainty /
_cDennis V. Lindley.
_h[electronic resource]
260 _aHoboken, N.J. :
_bWiley,
_c2013.
300 _a1 online resource
336 _atext
_btxt
_2rdacontent
337 _acomputer
_bc
_2rdamedia
338 _aonline resource
_bcr
_2rdacarrier
500 _aTitle from resource description page (Recorded Books, viewed November 21, 2013).
520 _a"We want you to face up to uncertainty, not hide it away under false concepts, but to understand it and, moreover, to use the recent discoveries so that you can act in the face of uncertainty more sensibly than would have been possible without the skill."--Dennis Lindley Accessibly written at an elementary level, this outstanding text examines uncertainty in various everyday situations and introduces readers to three rules that prove uncertainty can be handled with as much confidence as ordinary logic. Combining a concept of utility with probability, the book insightfully demonstrates how uncertainty can be measured and used in everyday life, especially in decision-making and science. Completely reformatted and visually easy to read, this revised edition includes new material on the computational influence and breakthroughs of hierarchical Bayesian methods and inference; betting (Efron's dice); and the current recession; as well as additional illustrations, updated references, and simplified writing for clarity, ease of continuity and research.
650 0 _aMathematics.
650 7 _aMATHEMATICS
_xProbability & Statistics
_xGeneral.
_2bisacsh
650 7 _aMathematics.
_2fast
_0(OCoLC)fst01012163
655 4 _aElectronic books.
776 0 8 _iPrint version:
_z9781306208376
856 4 0 _uhttp://onlinelibrary.wiley.com/book/10.1002/9781118650158
_zWiley Online Library
942 _2ddc
_cBK
999 _c207134
_d207134