Lindley, D. V. (Dennis Victor) 1923-2013 creator text Electronic books. nju Hoboken, N.J Wiley 2013 monographic eng

electronic resource

1 online resource "We want you to face up to uncertainty, not hide it away under false concepts, but to understand it and, moreover, to use the recent discoveries so that you can act in the face of uncertainty more sensibly than would have been possible without the skill."--Dennis Lindley Accessibly written at an elementary level, this outstanding text examines uncertainty in various everyday situations and introduces readers to three rules that prove uncertainty can be handled with as much confidence as ordinary logic. Combining a concept of utility with probability, the book insightfully demonstrates how uncertainty can be measured and used in everyday life, especially in decision-making and science. Completely reformatted and visually easy to read, this revised edition includes new material on the computational influence and breakthroughs of hierarchical Bayesian methods and inference; betting (Efron's dice); and the current recession; as well as additional illustrations, updated references, and simplified writing for clarity, ease of continuity and research. Dennis V. Lindley. Title from resource description page (Recorded Books, viewed November 21, 2013). Mathematics MATHEMATICS Probability & Statistics General Mathematics QA273 519.2 9781118650233 1118650239 9781118650158 1118650158 1306208378 9781306208376 EB00067065 Recorded Books 552088 MIL http://onlinelibrary.wiley.com/book/10.1002/9781118650158 http://onlinelibrary.wiley.com/book/10.1002/9781118650158 RECBK 090713 20171105082158.0 ocn865012953 eng