02784cam a2200493Ma 4500 ocn865012953 OCoLC 20171105082158.0 m o d cr cnu---unuuu 090713s2013 nju o 000 u eng d 9781118650233 (electronic bk.) 1118650239 (electronic bk.) 9781118650158 (electronic bk.) 1118650158 (electronic bk.) 1306208378 (ebk) 9781306208376 (ebk) EB00067065 Recorded Books CHBIS 010259545 CHVBK 325943796 DEBBG BV043396398 (OCoLC)865012953 (OCoLC)865654825 552088 MIL RECBK eng pn RECBK OCLCO OCLCQ OCLCO DG1 OCLCQ IDEBK OHI OCLCF OCLCQ DEBBG OCLCQ MAIN QA273 519.2 22 Lindley, D. V. (Dennis Victor), 1923-2013. Understanding uncertainty / Dennis V. Lindley. [electronic resource] Hoboken, N.J. : Wiley, 2013. 1 online resource text txt rdacontent computer c rdamedia online resource cr rdacarrier Title from resource description page (Recorded Books, viewed November 21, 2013). "We want you to face up to uncertainty, not hide it away under false concepts, but to understand it and, moreover, to use the recent discoveries so that you can act in the face of uncertainty more sensibly than would have been possible without the skill."--Dennis Lindley Accessibly written at an elementary level, this outstanding text examines uncertainty in various everyday situations and introduces readers to three rules that prove uncertainty can be handled with as much confidence as ordinary logic. Combining a concept of utility with probability, the book insightfully demonstrates how uncertainty can be measured and used in everyday life, especially in decision-making and science. Completely reformatted and visually easy to read, this revised edition includes new material on the computational influence and breakthroughs of hierarchical Bayesian methods and inference; betting (Efron's dice); and the current recession; as well as additional illustrations, updated references, and simplified writing for clarity, ease of continuity and research. Mathematics. MATHEMATICS Probability & Statistics General. bisacsh Mathematics. fast (OCoLC)fst01012163 Electronic books. Print version: 9781306208376 http://onlinelibrary.wiley.com/book/10.1002/9781118650158 Wiley Online Library ddc BK 207134 207134