03429cam a2200601 i 4500 ocn862929275 OCoLC 20171105091157.0 m o d cr ||||||||||| 131108s2014 nju ob 001 0 eng 2013045052 9781118637890 (ePub) 1118637895 (ePub) 9781118637883 (Adobe PDF) 1118637887 (Adobe PDF) 9781118637913 (electronic bk.) 1118637917 (electronic bk.) 9781118637920 (hardback) NZ1 15356969 DEBBG BV041829209 (OCoLC)862929275 DLC eng rda pn DLC YDX N$T DG1 CUS RECBK YDXCP PUL OCLCF OCLCQ pcc MAIN QE538.8 SCI 030000 bisacsh SCI 031000 bisacsh 551.2201/12 23 SCI032000 bisacsh Kagan, Yan Y., author. Earthquakes : models, statistics, testable forecasts / Yan Y. Kagan. [electronic resource] Hoboken, NJ : John Wiley & Sons Inc., 2014. 1 online resource. text txt rdacontent computer c rdamedia online resource cr rdacarrier Statistical physics of fracture and breakdown Includes bibliographical references and index. "The proposed book is the first comprehensive and methodologically rigorous analysis of earthquake occurrence. Models based on the theory of the stochastic multidimensional point processes are employed to approximate the earthquake occurrence pattern and evaluate its parameters. The Author shows that most of these parameters have universal values. These results help explain the classical earthquake distributions: Omori's law and the Gutenberg-Richter relation. The Author derives a new negative-binomial distribution for earthquake numbers, instead of the Poisson distribution, and then determines a fractal correlation dimension for spatial distributions of earthquake hypocenters. The book also investigates the disorientation of earthquake focal mechanisms and shows that it follows the rotational Cauchy distribution. These statistical and mathematical advances make it possible to produce quantitative forecasts of earthquake occurrence. In these forecasts earthquake rate in time, space, and focal mechanism orientation is evaluated"-- Provided by publisher. "Our purpose is to analyze the causes of recent failures in earthquake forecasting, as well as the difficulties in earthquake investigation"-- Provided by publisher. Print version record and CIP data provided by publisher. Earthquake prediction. Earthquake hazard analysis. SCIENCE Geophysics. bisacsh Earthquake hazard analysis. fast (OCoLC)fst00900841 Earthquake prediction. fast (OCoLC)fst00900860 Electronic books. Print version: Kagan, Yan Y., author. Earthquakes. Hoboken, NJ : John Wiley & Sons Inc., 2014 9781118637920 (DLC) 2013033255 Statistical physics of fracture and breakdown series. http://onlinelibrary.wiley.com/book/10.1002/9781118637913 Wiley Online Library ddc BK 207085 207085